Draft:Denise Britz do Nascimento Silva

Denise Britz do Nascimento Silva is a Brazilian statistician specializing in official statistics, survey methodology, statistical modelling in the social sciences, small area estimation, and statistical education. She is a Senior Associate Researcher at the Society for the Development of Scientific Research (SCIENCE) in Brazil , and is a former Director of the National School of Statistical Sciences (ENCE) which is part of the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).

Education

Silva completed her Bachelor's in Statistics at Escola Nacional de Ciências Estatísticas (National School of Statistical Sciences) in 1985. She then pursued further studies, attaining a Master of Science in Statistics from the Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (Federal University of Rio de Janeiro – Institute of Mathematics and Statistics in 1992, where her dissertation focused on the application of dynamic linear models. Silva later earned her Ph.D. in Statistics from the Maths Department -University of Southampton, United Kingdom, in 1997, with a thesis on modeling compositional time series from repeated surveys.

Career

From 1987 to 2019, Silva worked at the Brazilian Institute for Geography and Statistics (IBGE), where she held various positions, including Survey Methodologist and, later, Director of the National School of Statistical Sciences (ENCE) from 2011 to 2014. From 2007 to 2010, she worked as a principal methodologist at the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) and as a lecturer at the University of Southampton in 2006 .  After her retirement in 2019, she continued to contribute to education as a Voluntary Faculty member at ENCE until 2024. In her current role at SCIENCE, Silva focuses on designing and implementing surveys, analyzing data, and developing statistical models, leading multidisciplinary teams to address various research challenges.

Contribution to Statistical Education and Research

Silva has played a crucial role in the education sector, having supervised 41 MSc and 5 PhD students throughout her career. She is also known for her consultancy work on survey methods and statistical modeling for social issues, particularly in areas like unemployment, poverty measurement, human trafficking and the effects of environmental disasters. Her commitment to the development of statistical skills among civil servants has further cemented her reputation as a leader in statistical education in Brazil.

Leadership and Service

Silva is a member of several statistical associations in which she has been actively involved. She has served on the International Association of Survey Statisticians (IASS) in the roles of Vice President (2011–2013), Scientific Secretary (2015–2017), IASS president-elect (2017-2019), and IASS President (2019–2021). She is an elected member of the International Statistical Institute (ISI),   and is currently one of the Vice-Presidents of ISI .  Over the years, Silva has served on the ISI Membership Elections Committee, the ISI Advisory Board on Ethics, and as a country representative for the ISI Committee on Women in Statistics. As a member of  InterAmerican Statistical Institute (IASI), she served as Vice President (2014–2016) and as a member of  the Brazilian Statistical Association (ABE), she was Treasurer (2004–2006) and Council Member (2010–2014). Silva is also a member of the American Statistical Association (ASA), the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR), and the Brazilian Association for Population Studies (ABEP). Silva has served as an associate editor of the Statistical Journal of the IAOS and the Revista Brasileira de Estatística, and she was a member of the editorial board of the International Statistical Review (2015-2022).

Selected Consultancy Work

As a survey methodologist, Silva has undertaken several consultancy projects including for:

• United Nations Statistics Division (UNSD) consultant to revise, further develop and finalize the Small Area Estimation for SDG Toolkit (2021-2022).
• SCIENCE and the Human Trafficking Data Lab - Stanford University (2023-2024): survey methodologist for the Human Trafficking in Brazil Survey.
• SCIENCE and the Regional Center for Studies on the Development of the Information Society (Cetic.br) (2022-2023) . Survey methodologist coordinating a project to develop a statistical disclosure control strategy for microdata from the Brazilian ICT Enterprise Survey.
• SCIENCE and Fundação Getúlio Vargas (2021-2022). Survey methodologist and technical coordinator for the Participatory Household Survey (PDP - Pesquisa Domiciliar Participativa).

Publications

Silva has authored and co-authored numerous articles in peer-reviewed journals and contributed to significant projects in statistical research. She has published extensively in the areas of survey methodology, small area estimation, labour market statistics, poverty measurement, and demographic analysis .

Selected Journal Publications

• ALMEIDA, P.A.; SILVA, C.A.M.; SILVA, D.B.N. Cinedemografia: filmes brasileiros e fluxos migratórios no século XXI. REVISTA INTERDISCIPLINAR DE MOBILIDADE HUMANA, v. 33, p.1-20, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1590/10.1590/1980-85852503880003305
• PENNECK, S.; BAILER, J.; HUMPHERSON, E.; KOTZEVA, M.; SILVA, D.B.N. Reflections on statistical leadership: Summary of a panel discussion at the WSC 2023. STATISTICAL JOURNAL OF THE IAOS, v. 40, p. 9-15, 2024. https://doi.org/10.3233/SJI-230123
• LIMA, T.A.; SILVA, D.B.N.; ALVES DE CARVALHO, A. Determinantes da Maternidade Adolescente no Brasil: Uma Abordagem Sociodemográfica e Regional. OIKOS (VIÇOSA, MG). v.35, p.1 - 24, 2024. https://doi.org/10.31423/oikos.v35i2.17391

• GONÇALVES, C.C.S.; CARNEIRO, L. H.; SILVA, D.B.N. Estimação da dinâmica da desocupaçãono Brasil com modelos de espaço de estados para pesquisas amostrais. REVISTA BRASILEIRA DE ESTATÍSTICA, v. 81, p. 76-104, 2023.
• GONÇALVES, C.C.S.; HIDALGO, L.; SILVA, D.B.N.; VAN DEN BRAKEL, J. Single-month unemployment rate estimates for the Brazilian Labour Force Survey using state-space models. JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES A-STATISTICS IN SOCIETY, v. 185, p. 1707-1732, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12914
• DE ELETERIO LIMA, L.; ALVES DE CARVALHO, A.; SILVA, D.B.N. Arranjos familiares edesempenho escolar de alunos do 5º e 9º anos no Brasil em 2015. REVISTA BRASILEIRA DE ESTUDOS DE POPULAÇÃO. REBEP, v. 38, p. 1-23, 2021. https://doi.org/10.20947/S0102-3098a0142
• HYPOLITO, E.B.; SILVA, D.B.N. Análise do Uso do Informante Proxy na PNAD Contínua. MERCADO DE TRABALHO, v. 72, p. 89-102, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.38116/bmt72/nt4
• SILVA, J.J.; BRUNO, M.A. P.; SILVA, D.B.N. Pobreza multidimensional no Brasil: uma análise do período 2004 -2015. BRAZILIAN JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY, v. 40, p. 138-160, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-35172020-2924
• SANTOS, M.P.R.; PITTA, M.T.; SILVA, D.B.N. Representativity indicators for the survey on the use of information and communication technologies in Brazilian households. STATISTICAL JOURNAL OF THE IAOS, v. 36, p. 1-10, 2020. https://doi.org/10.3233/SJI-190509
• ALVES, P.; ALVES, J.E.D.; SILVA, D.B.N. Cinedemografia. PLURAL (SÃO PAULO. ONLINE), v. 27,p. 168-190, 2020. https://doi.org/10.11606/issn.2176-8099.pcso.2020.171533
• NEVES, A.F.A.; SILVA, D.B.N.; MOURA, F. Skew normal small area time models for the Brazilian annual service sector survey. STATISTICS IN TRANSITION NEW SERIES, v. 21, p. 84-102, 2020. https://doi.org/10.21307/stattrans-2020-032
• TEIXEIRA JUNIOR, A.E.; ROSSETI, E.; ALVES, P.; SILVA, D.B.N. Pesos Longitudinais para a Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domicílios Contínua (Pnad Contínua). MERCADO DE TRABALHO, v. 25, p. 79-90, 2019. http://repositorio.ipea.gov.br/handle/11058/9951
• BAFFOUR, B.; SILVA, D.; VEIGA, A.; SEXTON, C.; BROWN, J. Small area estimation strategy for the 2011 Census in England and Wales. STATISTICAL JOURNAL OF THE IAOS, v. 35, p. 1-13, 2018. https://doi.org/10.3233/SJI-180427
• MOURA, F.A.S.; NEVES, A.F.; SILVA, D.B.N. Small area models for skewed Brazilian business survey data. JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES A-STATISTICS IN SOCIETY, v. 180, p. 00, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12301
• PAIVA, G.F.S.; SILVA, D.B.N.; FEIJÓ, C.A. Exploratory Note on Consumption and Socioeconomic Classification in Brazil Based on Evidence from the Family Expenditure Survey. REVISTA DE ECONOMIA CONTEMPORÂNEA, v. 20, p. 207-228, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1590/198055272021
• DUARTE, L.T.; SILVA, D.B.N.; BRITO, J.A.M. Análise de paradados do Censo Demográfico 2010: uma investigação de fatores associados a erros não amostrais do levantamento de dados. REVISTA BRASILEIRA DE ESTUDOS DE POPULAÇÃO. REBEP, v. 33, p. 679-701, 2016. https://doi.org/10.20947/S0102-30982016c0011
• SILVA, D.B.N.; SMITH, T.M.F. Modelling Compositional Time Series from Repeated Surveys. SURVEY METHODOLOGY, Canada, v. 27, n.2, p. 205-215, 2001.
• SILVA, P.L.N.; SILVA, D.B.N.; MOURA, F.A.S.; RIBEIRO, L.R.J. Frame Problems and Survey Design for the Brazilian Annual Retail and Wholesale Trade Survey. ESTADÍSTICA, v. 49-51, p. 152-157, 2000.

Books

• SILVA, D.B.N.; CRUZ, M.M. Séries Temporais de Pesquisas Amostrais Periódicas. São Paulo: ASSOCIAÇÃO BRASILEIRA DE ESTATÍSTICA, 2002. v. 1. 141 p.

Book Chapters

• ROSSETI, E. ; SILVA, D.B.N. Modelos de séries temporais para pesquisas amostrais repetidas. In: Sonia Albieri; Antonio José Ribeiro Dias. (Org.). DOCUMENTOS PARA DISSEMINAÇÃO - MEMÓRIA INSTITUCIONAL - 40 ANOS DA UNIDADE DE MÉTODOS ESTATÍSTICOS DO IBGE ALGUNS PASSOS. Rio de Janeiro: IBGE, 2017, v. 22, p. 171-188.
• MARTA, F.S.; CARVALHO, P. G. M. ; SILVA, D.B.N.; BARCELLOS, F. C. Investimento em controleambiental no Brasil: fatores determinantes a partir da modelagem estatística. In: Miguel Bruno. (Org.). POPULAÇÃO, ESPAÇO E SUSTENTABILIDADE CONTRIBUIÇÕES PARA O DESENVOLVIMENTO DO BRASIL. Rio de Janeiro: IBGE, 2015, p. 151-183.
• OLIVEIRA, J.S.; SILVA, D.B.N; LIMA, J.M.; MELO, D.L.B. Notas sobre a Inserção Socioeconômica de Moradores da Favela. In: Pedro Abramo. (Org.). A CIDADE DA INFORMALIDADE - O DESAFIO DAS CIDADES LATINO-AMERICANAS. Rio de Janeiro: Livraria Sette Letras, 2003, v. 1, p. 237-264.